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  • ​Bonan, D.B., N. Feldl, M.D. Zelinka, and L.C. Hahn (2023): Contributions to regional precipitation change and its polar-amplified pattern under warming. Environmental Research: Climate[ preprint ] [ pdf ] [ supplement ]

  • Bonan, D.B., J. Dörr, R.C.J. Wills, A.F. Thompson, and M. Årthun (2023): Sources of low-frequency variability in observed Antarctic sea ice. The Cryosphere. [ preprint ] [ pdf

  • Siler, N., D.B. Bonan, and A. Donohoe (2023): Diagnosing mechanisms of hydrologic change under global warming in the CESM1 Large Ensemble. Journal of Climate. [ preprint ] [ pdf ]  [ supplement ]       

  • Dörr, J., D.B. Bonan, M. Årthun, L. Svendsen, and R.C.J Wills (2023): Forced and internal components of observed Arctic sea-ice changes. The Cryospherepreprint ] [ pdf ]

  • Wilson, E.A., D.B. Bonan, A.F. Thompson, N. Armstrong, and S.C. Riser (2023): Mechanisms for abrupt summertime circumpolar surface warming in the Southern Ocean. Journal of Climate. [ preprint ] [ pdf



* indicates undergraduate advisee


  • Bonan, D.B., N. Siler, G.H. Roe, and K.C. Armour (2023): Energetic constraints on the pattern of changes to the hydrological cycle under global warming. Journal of Climate, 36 (10), 3499-3522. doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-22-0337.1 [ pdf ]


  • Bonan, D.B., A.F. Thompson, E.R. Newsom, S. Sun, and M. Rugenstein (2022): Transient and equilibrium responses of the Atlantic overturning circulation to warming in coupled climate models: the role of temperature and salinity. Journal of Climate, 35 (15), 5173-5193. doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-21-0912.1  pdf 


  • Bonan, D.B., T. Schneider, I. Eisenman, and R.C.J. Wills (2021): Constraining the date of a seasonally ice-free Arctic using a simple model. Geophysical Research Letters, 48 (18), e2021GL094309. doi: 10.1029/2020GL094309 [ pdf ] [ supplement ] [ summary commentary



  • Bonan, D.B. and E. Blanchard-Wrigglesworth (2020): Nonstationary teleconnection between the Pacific Ocean and Arctic sea ice. Geophysical Research Letters, 47 (2), e2019GL085666. doi: 10.1029/2019GL085666 [ pdf ] [ supplement


  • Bonan, D.B., J.E. Christian, and K. Christianson (2019): Influence of North Atlantic climate variability on glacier mass balance in Norway, Sweden and Svalbard. Journal of Glaciology, 65 (252), 580-594. doi: 10.1017/JOG.2019.35 pdf ] [ supplement ]




  • Bonan, D.B. (September, 2021): The future of Arctic sea ice. Polar Bears International. [ html ] [ pdf

In Preparation


  • Bonan, D.B., A.F. Thompson, T. Schneider, and L. Zanna: Transient and equilibrium responses of the ocean's overturning circulation to climate change: insights from a conceptual model.

  • Bonan, D.B., A.F. Thompson, T. Schneider, and L. Zanna: A conceptual model of the coupled ocean-atmosphere system.

  • Nayak, M.*, D.B. Bonan, E.R. Newsom, and A.F. Thompson: Surface constraints on the strength of the Atlantic overturning circulation in coupled climate models.

  • Bonan, D.B., N. Feldl, N. Siler, J. Kay, K.C. Armour, I. Eisenman, E. Beer, and G.H. Roe: Isolating the role of climate feedbacks on regional precipitation change.

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