B. G. Buchovecky, F. H. Lambert, C. M. Zarakas, M. M. Laguë, C. D. Koven, I. Fung, D. B. Bonan, and A. L. S. Swann: Reduced evapotranspiration and associated warming increase moisture convergence but decrease precipitation over land.
E. R. Newsom, D. B. Bonan, A. F. Thompson, and K. C. Armour: Controls on the equilibration timescale of Earth's climate to abrupt greenhouse-gas forcing.
Submitted
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C. Hankel and D. B. Bonan: Transient evolution of polar amplification under different CO2 ramping rates. [ preprint ]
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D. B. Bonan, M. M. Laguë, and W. R. Boos: Impact of continental configuration on the climate response to greenhouse-gas forcing in an idealized GCM. [ preprint ]
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D. B. Bonan and T. Schneider: Estimating the maximum mean precipitation in hothouse climates. [ preprint ]
Peer-Reviewed
2025
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D. B. Bonan, A. F. Thompson, T. Schneider, L. Zanna, K. C. Armour, and S. Sun (2025): Observational constraints imply limited future Atlantic meridional overturning circulation weakening. Nature Geoscience, 18 (6), 479-487. doi: 10.1038/S41561-025-01709-0 [ pdf ] [ research highlight, research highlight, research highlight, research highlight ]
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D. B. Bonan, J. E. Kay, N. Feldl, and M. D. Zelinka (2025): Mid-latitude clouds contribute to Arctic amplification via interactions with other climate feedbacks. Environmental Research: Climate, 4 (1), 015001. doi: 10.1088/2752-5295/ADA84B [ pdf ]
2024
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R. N. Patel, D. B. Bonan, and T. Schneider (2024): Changes in the frequency of observed temperature extremes largely driven by a distribution shift. Geophysical Research Letters, 51 (24), e2024GL110707. doi: 10.1029/2024GL110707 [ pdf ] [ supplement ]
- D. B. Bonan, T. Schneider, and J. Zhu (2024): Precipitation over a wide range of climates simulated with comprehensive GCMs. Geophysical Research Letters, 51 (16), e2024GL109892. doi: 10.1029/2024GL109892 [ pdf ] [ supplement ]
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M. S. Nayak, D. B. Bonan, E. R. Newsom, and A. F. Thompson (2024): Controls on the strength and structure of the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation in climate models. Geophysical Research Letters, 51 (11), e2024GL109055. doi: 10.1029/2024GL109055 [ pdf ]
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D. B. Bonan, J. Dörr, R. C. J. Wills, A. F. Thompson, and M. Årthun (2024): Sources of low-frequency variability in observed Antarctic sea ice. The Cryosphere, 18 (4), 2141-2159. doi: 10.5194/TC-18-2141-2024 [ pdf ]
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D. B. Bonan, N. Feldl, N. Siler, J. E. Kay, K. C. Armour, I. Eisenman, and G. H. Roe (2024): The influence of climate feedbacks on regional hydrological changes under global warming. Geophysical Research Letters, 51 (3), e2023GL106648. doi: 10.1029/2023GL106648 [ pdf ] [ supplement ]
2023
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Y. Dong, L. M. Polvani, and D. B. Bonan (2023): Recent multi-decadal Southern Ocean surface cooling unlikely caused by Southern Annular Mode trends. Geophysical Research Letters, 50 (23), e2023GL106142. doi: 10.1029/2023GL106142 [ pdf ] [ supplement ] [ research highlight ]
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N. Siler, D. B. Bonan, and A. Donohoe (2023): Diagnosing mechanisms of hydrologic change under global warming in the CESM1 Large Ensemble. Journal of Climate, 36 (23), 8243-8257. doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-23-0086.1 [ pdf ] [ supplement ]
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J. Dörr, D. B. Bonan, M. Årthun, L. Svendsen, and R. C. J. Wills (2023): Forced and internal components of observed Arctic sea-ice changes. The Cryosphere, 17 (9), 4133-4153. doi: 10.5194/TC-17-4133-2023 [ pdf ]
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E. A. Wilson, D. B. Bonan, A. F. Thompson, N. Armstrong, and S. C. Riser (2023): Mechanisms for abrupt summertime circumpolar surface warming in the Southern Ocean. Journal of Climate, 36 (20), 7025-7039. doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-22-0501.1 [ pdf ]
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D. B. Bonan, N. Feldl, M. D. Zelinka, and L. C. Hahn (2023): Contributions to regional precipitation change and its polar-amplified pattern under warming. Environmental Research: Climate, 2 (3), 035010. doi: 10.1088/2752-5295/ACE27A [ pdf ] [ supplement ] [ research highlight ]
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D. B. Bonan, N. Siler, G. H. Roe, and K. C. Armour (2023): Energetic constraints on the pattern of changes to the hydrological cycle under global warming. Journal of Climate, 36 (10), 3499-3522. doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-22-0337.1 [ pdf ]
2022
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D. B. Bonan, A. F. Thompson, E. R. Newsom, S. Sun, and M. Rugenstein (2022): Transient and equilibrium responses of the Atlantic overturning circulation to warming in coupled climate models: the role of temperature and salinity. Journal of Climate, 35 (15), 5173-5193. doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-21-0912.1 [ pdf ]
2021
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D. B. Bonan, T. Schneider, I. Eisenman, and R. C. J. Wills (2021): Constraining the date of a seasonally ice-free Arctic using a simple model. Geophysical Research Letters, 48 (18), e2021GL094309. doi: 10.1029/2020GL094309 [ pdf ] [ supplement ] [ research highlight, research highlight ]
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D. B. Bonan, F. Lehner, and M. M. Holland (2021): Partitioning uncertainty in projections of Arctic sea ice. Environmental Research Letters, 16 (4), 044002. doi: 10.1088/1748-9326/ABE0EC [ pdf ] [ supplement ] [ research highlight ]
2020
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M. Bushuk, M. Winton, D. B. Bonan, E. Blanchard-Wrigglesworth, and T. Delworth (2020): A mechanism for the Arctic sea ice spring predictability barrier. Geophysical Research Letters, 47 (13), e2020GL088335. doi: 10.1029/2020GL088335 [ pdf ] [ supplement ] [ research highlight, research highlight ]
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D.B. Bonan and E. Blanchard-Wrigglesworth (2020): Nonstationary teleconnection between the Pacific Ocean and Arctic sea ice. Geophysical Research Letters, 47 (2), e2019GL085666. doi: 10.1029/2019GL085666 [ pdf ] [ supplement ]
2019
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D. B. Bonan, J. E. Christian, and K. Christianson (2019): Influence of North Atlantic climate variability on glacier mass balance in Norway, Sweden and Svalbard. Journal of Glaciology, 65 (252), 580-594. doi: 10.1017/JOG.2019.35 [ pdf ] [ supplement ]
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D. B. Bonan, M. Bushuk, and M. Winton (2019): A spring barrier for regional predictions of summer Arctic sea ice. Geophysical Research Letters, 46 (11), 5937-5947. doi: 10.1029/2019GL082947 [ pdf ] [ supplement ] [ research highlight, research highlight, research highlight ]
2018
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D. B. Bonan, K. C. Armour, G. H. Roe, N. Siler, and N. Feldl (2018): Sources of uncertainty in the meridional pattern of climate change. Geophysical Research Letters, 45 (17), 9131-9140. doi: 10.1029/2018GL079429 [ pdf ] [ supplement ] [ research highlight, research highlight ]
Non-refereed
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D. B. Bonan (2025): Explications of a changing climate. Ph.D. Dissertation. California Institute of Technology. doi: 10.7907/AFB5-NS06 [ pdf ]