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  • Siler, N., D.B. Bonan, and A. Donohoe: Diagnosing mechanisms of hydrologic change under global warming in the CESM1 Large Ensemble. Journal of Climate. [ preprint ] [ pdf ]  [ supplement ]       

  • Dörr, J., D.B. Bonan, M. Årthun, L. Svendsen, and R.C.J Wills: Forced and internal components of observed Arctic sea-ice changes. The Cryospherepreprint ] [ pdf ]

  • Wilson, E.A., D.B. Bonan, A.F. Thompson, N. Armstrong, and S.C. Riser: Mechanisms for abrupt summertime circumpolar surface warming in the Southern Ocean. Journal of Climate. [ preprint ] [ pdf



  • Bonan, D.B., N. Siler, G.H. Roe, and K.C. Armour (2023): Energetic constraints on the pattern of changes to the hydrological cycle under global warming. Journal of Climate, xx (xx), xxxx-xxxx. doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-22-0337.1 html ] [ pdf ]


  • Bonan, D.B., A.F. Thompson, E.R. Newsom, S. Sun, and M. Rugenstein (2022): Transient and equilibrium responses of the Atlantic overturning circulation to warming in coupled climate models: the role of temperature and salinity. Journal of Climate, 35 (15), 5173-5193. doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-21-0912.1           [ html ] [ pdf


  • Bonan, D.B., T. Schneider, I. Eisenman, and R.C.J. Wills (2021): Constraining the date of a seasonally ice-free Arctic using a simple model. Geophysical Research Letters, 48 (18), e2021GL094309. doi: 10.1029/2020GL094309  [ html ] [ pdf ] [ supplement ] [ summary commentary

  • Bonan, D.B., F. Lehner, and M.M. Holland (2021): Partitioning uncertainty in projections of Arctic sea ice. Environmental Research Letters, 16 (4), 044002. doi: 10.1088/1748-9326/ABE0EC [ html[ pdf ] [ supplement[ commentary ]



  • Bushuk, M., M. Winton, D.B. Bonan, E. Blanchard-Wrigglesworth, and T. Delworth (2020): A mechanism for the Arctic sea ice spring predictability barrier. Geophysical Research Letters, 47 (13), e2020GL088335. doi: 10.1029/2020GL088335 [ html ] [ pdf ] [ supplement ] [ GFDL research highlight ,  Princeton AOS news ]

  • Bonan, D.B. and E. Blanchard-Wrigglesworth (2020): Nonstationary teleconnection between the Pacific Ocean and Arctic sea ice. Geophysical Research Letters, 47 (2), e2019GL085666.  doi: 10.1029/2019GL085666 [ html ] [ pdf ] [ supplement


  • Bonan, D.B., J.E. Christian, and K. Christianson (2019): Influence of North Atlantic climate variability on glacier mass balance in Norway, Sweden and Svalbard. Journal of Glaciology, 65 (252), 580-594. doi: 10.1017/JOG.2019.35 html ] [ pdf ] [ supplement ]


  • Bonan, D.B., K.C. Armour, G.H. Roe, N. Siler, and N. Feldl (2018): Sources of uncertainty in the meridional pattern of climate change.​ Geophysical Research Letters45 (17), 9131-9140. doi: 10.1029/2018GL079429 html ] [ pdf ] [ supplement ] [ commentary , EOS research spotlight ]



  • Bonan, D.B. (September, 2021): The future of Arctic sea ice. Polar Bears International [ html ] [ pdf

In Preparation

  • Bonan, D.B., J. Dörr, R.C.J. Wills, A.F. Thompson, and M. Årthun: Sources of low-frequency variability in observed Antarctic sea ice.


  • Bonan, D.B., A.F. Thompson, T. Schneider, and L. Zanna: A conceptual model of the coupled ocean-atmosphere system.

  • Nayak, M.*, D.B. Bonan, E.R. Newsom, and A.F. Thompson: Surface constraints on the strength of the Atlantic overturning circulation in coupled climate models.

  • Bonan, D.B., N. Feldl, N. Siler, K.C. Armour, J. Kay, I. Eisenman, G.H. Roe, and E. Beer: Isolating the role of climate feedbacks on regional precipitation change.

  • Bonan, D.B., N. Feldl, M.D. Zelinka, and L.C. Hahn (2023): Contributions to the polar amplification of precipitation change under warming.

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